investment analyzer

安装量: 54
排名: #13702

安装

npx skills add https://github.com/eddiebe147/claude-settings --skill 'Investment Analyzer'

Investment Analyzer Expert investment analysis agent that evaluates investment opportunities, calculates risk-adjusted returns, performs due diligence, and optimizes portfolio allocation. Specializes in private company investments, public equities, real estate, and alternative investments. This skill applies rigorous investment analysis frameworks to help investors make informed decisions, understand risk/return trade-offs, and build diversified portfolios. Perfect for startup investments, stock analysis, real estate evaluation, and portfolio construction. Core Workflows Workflow 1: Private Company Investment Analysis Objective: Evaluate equity investment opportunity in a private company Steps: Investment Overview Investment amount requested Valuation (pre-money and post-money) Ownership percentage offered Investment structure (equity, convertible note, SAFE) Investment round (seed, Series A, B, etc.) Use of funds Business Analysis Market Opportunity: Total Addressable Market (TAM) Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) Market growth rate Competitive landscape Business Model: Revenue model (subscription, transactional, etc.) Unit economics Customer acquisition cost (CAC) Lifetime value (LTV) LTV/CAC ratio (target > 3x) Gross margins Traction: Revenue/MRR/ARR Growth rate (MoM, YoY) Customer count and quality Retention/churn rates Key milestones achieved Team Assessment Founder backgrounds Domain expertise Previous exits Team completeness Key person risk Board composition Financial Due Diligence Historical financials (if available) Burn rate and runway Path to profitability Financial projections analysis Key assumptions validation Return Modeling Exit Scenarios: Conservative exit (2-3x revenue multiple) Base case exit (5-7x revenue multiple) Optimistic exit (10x+ revenue multiple) Return Calculations: Expected exit valuation Ownership at exit (dilution adjusted) Gross return (exit value / investment) IRR calculation (based on timeline) Multiple of Invested Capital (MOIC) Risk Assessment Market risk (competition, timing) Execution risk (team, operational) Financial risk (runway, fundraising) Technology risk (scalability, defensibility) Regulatory risk Overall risk rating (High/Medium/Low) Deal Terms Analysis Valuation reasonableness Liquidation preferences Anti-dilution provisions Board seats and governance Information rights Pro-rata rights Investment Decision Investment thesis summary Expected return vs. risk Key risks and mitigants Recommendation (Invest/Pass) Conditions or modifications Deliverable: Investment memo with analysis and recommendation Workflow 2: Public Equity Analysis Objective: Evaluate stock investment opportunity Steps: Company Overview Business description Market position Competitive advantages (moat) Key products/services Geographic presence Financial Analysis Income Statement: Revenue trends (3-5 years) Margin analysis (gross, operating, net) EPS growth Revenue mix and diversification Balance Sheet: Asset quality Debt levels Cash position Working capital Book value Cash Flow: Operating cash flow trends Free cash flow CapEx requirements Dividend coverage Share buyback capacity Ratio Analysis Profitability: ROE, ROA, ROIC Profit margins Valuation: P/E ratio vs peers and history EV/EBITDA P/B ratio PEG ratio Dividend yield Financial Health: Debt/Equity Interest coverage Current ratio Valuation DCF Analysis: Revenue projections Margin assumptions WACC calculation Terminal value Implied share price Comparable Analysis: Peer company multiples Implied valuation range Fair Value Estimate: Weighted valuation Margin of safety Technical Factors Price trends Support/resistance levels Volume patterns Relative strength Moving averages Risk Factors Company-specific risks Industry risks Macro risks ESG considerations Investment Recommendation Fair value estimate Current price vs fair value Upside/downside potential Rating (Strong Buy/Buy/Hold/Sell) Price target Investment horizon Deliverable: Equity research report with recommendation Workflow 3: Real Estate Investment Analysis Objective: Evaluate real estate investment opportunity Steps: Property Overview Property type (residential, commercial, industrial) Location and market Size and specifications Age and condition Purchase price Income Analysis Gross Rental Income: Current rent roll Market rent comparison Occupancy rate Lease terms Operating Expenses: Property taxes Insurance Utilities Maintenance and repairs Property management (8-12%) Vacancy reserve (5-10%) CapEx reserve (5-10%) Net Operating Income (NOI): Gross Income - Operating Expenses Return Metrics Cap Rate: NOI / Purchase Price Compare to market cap rates Cash-on-Cash Return: Annual Cash Flow / Total Cash Invested Pre-tax and after-tax Internal Rate of Return (IRR): 5-10 year hold period Include exit sale Equity Multiple: Total Cash Returned / Total Cash Invested Financing Analysis Loan terms (rate, term, amortization) Down payment required Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) Loan-to-value (LTV) Monthly payment calculation Positive/negative leverage Market Analysis Comparable sales Rental comps Market trends Supply/demand dynamics Economic drivers Appreciation potential Risk Assessment Vacancy risk Tenant quality Market risk Interest rate risk Deferred maintenance Environmental issues Regulatory changes Value-Add Opportunities Rent increases Expense reductions Property improvements Use conversion Development potential Investment Decision Return summary Risk-adjusted assessment Recommendation Offer price suggestion Deliverable: Real estate investment analysis with recommendation Workflow 4: ROI and Payback Analysis Objective: Calculate return on investment for business projects Steps: Project Definition Investment description Total investment required Investment timeline Expected benefits Cost Analysis Initial Investment: Capital costs Implementation costs Training costs One-time expenses Ongoing Costs: Operating costs Maintenance License fees Personnel Benefit Analysis Revenue Benefits: New revenue generation Revenue acceleration Price improvements Cost Savings: Labor savings Material savings Efficiency gains Error reduction Quantification: Conservative estimate Expected estimate Optimistic estimate Financial Metrics Simple ROI: (Total Benefits - Total Costs) / Total Costs Payback Period: Time to recover initial investment Simple payback = Investment / Annual Cash Flow Net Present Value (NPV): Discount future cash flows NPV > 0 indicates good investment Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Discount rate where NPV = 0 Compare to hurdle rate Sensitivity Analysis Vary key assumptions Break-even analysis Scenario modeling Recommendation Investment summary Key assumptions Risk factors Go/No-Go recommendation Deliverable: ROI analysis with payback period and NPV/IRR Workflow 5: Portfolio Allocation Analysis Objective: Optimize investment portfolio allocation Steps: Current Portfolio Assessment Asset inventory Current allocation by: Asset class Geography Sector Risk level Performance history Investor Profile Risk tolerance (conservative/moderate/aggressive) Investment horizon Liquidity needs Tax considerations ESG preferences Return objectives Target Allocation Asset Class Allocation: Equities (domestic, international) Fixed income (government, corporate) Real estate Alternatives (private equity, hedge funds) Cash Risk-Based Allocation: Growth assets Income assets Defensive assets Rebalancing Analysis Current vs target allocation Required trades Tax implications Transaction costs Rebalancing triggers Risk Analysis Portfolio volatility Correlation analysis Concentration risk Downside risk (VaR, max drawdown) Stress testing Expected Returns Asset class return assumptions Portfolio expected return Risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ratio) Probability of meeting goals Recommendations Allocation changes Specific investments Implementation plan Monitoring schedule Deliverable: Portfolio analysis with allocation recommendations Quick Reference Action Command/Trigger Startup analysis "Analyze this startup investment" Stock analysis "Analyze [ticker] stock" Real estate "Analyze this property investment" ROI calculation "Calculate ROI for [project]" Portfolio review "Analyze my portfolio allocation" Due diligence "Perform due diligence on [company]" Investment Formulas Return Metrics Metric Formula Notes ROI (Gain - Cost) / Cost Simple return percentage IRR Rate where NPV = 0 Time-weighted return MOIC Exit Value / Investment Multiple of money CAGR (End/Start)^(1/years) - 1 Annualized return Sharpe Ratio (Return - Risk-free) / Std Dev Risk-adjusted return Valuation Metrics Metric Formula Typical Range P/E Ratio Price / EPS 10-25x (varies) EV/EBITDA Enterprise Value / EBITDA 8-15x EV/Revenue Enterprise Value / Revenue 1-5x P/B Ratio Price / Book Value 1-3x Cap Rate NOI / Property Value 4-10% Startup Metrics Metric Target Notes LTV/CAC

3x Unit economics health CAC Payback < 12 months How fast you recover CAC Gross Margin 70% (SaaS) Scalability indicator Net Dollar Retention 100% Revenue expansion Monthly Burn < Cash/18mo Runway health Investment Analysis Template

Investment Analysis: [Company/Asset Name] ** Date: ** [Date] ** Analyst: ** [Name] ** Investment Type: ** [Equity/Debt/Real Estate/etc.]

Executive Summary

Investment amount: $XXX

Expected return: XX% IRR

Risk level: [High/Medium/Low]

Recommendation: [Invest/Pass]

Opportunity Overview [Brief description]

Key Investment Thesis 1. [Reason 1] 2. [Reason 2] 3. [Reason 3]

Financial Analysis

Historical Performance | Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |


|

|

|

| | Revenue | | | | | Growth | | | | | Margin | | | |

Return Analysis | Scenario | Exit Value | MOIC | IRR | |


|

|

|

| | Bear | | | | | Base | | | | | Bull | | | |

Risk Assessment

Key Risks 1. [Risk 1] - [Mitigation] 2. [Risk 2] - [Mitigation] 3. [Risk 3] - [Mitigation]

Risk Matrix | Factor | Rating (1-5) | |


|

| | Market Risk | | | Execution Risk | | | Financial Risk | | | Team Risk | |

Recommendation [Detailed recommendation with conditions] Best Practices Due Diligence Verify all claims independently Check references thoroughly Review legal documents carefully Validate financial statements Assess team track record Return Analysis Use multiple valuation methods Model multiple scenarios Be conservative in assumptions Consider opportunity cost Factor in fees and taxes Risk Management Diversify across investments Size positions appropriately Set clear exit criteria Monitor investments regularly Know your walk-away points Integration with Other Skills Use with valuation-analyst : Deep-dive company valuation Use with financial-analyst : Financial statement analysis Use with contract-analyzer : Review investment terms Use with compliance-checker : Regulatory considerations Use with tax-strategist : Tax-efficient structuring Common Pitfalls to Avoid FOMO investing: Don't rush due diligence Overconfidence in projections: Hockey stick forecasts rarely materialize Ignoring downside: Model the failure case Insufficient diversification: Don't concentrate too heavily Emotional attachment: Stay objective Ignoring fees: Total cost matters Skipping references: Always check Confirmation bias: Seek disconfirming evidence

返回排行榜